Tropical Storm Ian 100 Update

 

1100 update from NHC on TS Ian.

Ian is moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph. A turn toward the north is expected late today, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest with an increase in forward speed Friday night. Ian will approach the coast of South Carolina on Friday. The center will move farther inland across the Carolinas Friday night and Saturday.

Ian is expected to become a Hurricane again this evening and make landfall as a Hurricane on Friday, with rapid weakening forecast after landfall.

//signed//
Robert Nadeau
Director of External Affairs/Communications Office

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA WITH IAN...
At 11am EDT, Tropical Storm Ian was located 25 miles north-northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph and a minimum central pressure of 987 mb.

Ian is moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph. A turn toward the north is expected late today, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest with an increase in forward speed Friday night. Ian will approach the coast of South Carolina on Friday. The center will move farther inland across the Carolinas Friday night and Saturday.

Ian is expected to become a Hurricane again this evening and make landfall as a Hurricane on Friday, with rapid weakening forecast after landfall.

Storm Surge Warning
* Flagler/Volusia Line to Little River Inlet
* Neuse River
* St. Johns River

Storm Surge Watch
* North of South Santee River to Duck North Carolina
* Pamlico River

Hurricane Warning
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet

Tropical Storm Warning
* Jupiter Inlet Florida to Duck North Carolina
* Pamlico Sound

Hurricane Watch
* Flagler/Volusia County Line to the Savannah River

Storm Surge - Heights above ground
* Edisto Beach to South Santee River - 4-7 ft
* Flagler/Volusia County Line to Edisto Beach - 4-6 ft
* South Santee River to Little River Inlet - 3-5 ft
* St. Johns River - 2-4 ft
* East of Little River Inlet to Duck, including Pamlico and Neuse Rivers - 2-4 ft
* Patrick Air Force Base to Flagler/Volusia County Line - 1-3 ft
* Bonita Beach to Chokoloskee including Charlotte Harbor - 1-3 ft
* Albemarle Sound - 1-2 ft

Rainfall
Ian is expected to produce the following storm total rainfall:
* East Central to Northeast Florida: Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with storm totals around 20 inches in spots
* Coastal Georgia: 2 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts
* Lowcountry of South Carolina: 4 to 8 inches, with local maxima of 12 inches
* Upstate and central South Carolina, North Carolina, and southern Virginia: 3 to 6 inches with local maxima of 8 inches across western North Carolina

Tornadoes
A tornado or two will be possible Friday across the coastal Carolinas.

Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities
Raleigh, NC
42%

Charlotte, NC
52%

Morehead City, NC
44%

Wilmington, NC
67%

Columbia, SC
67%

Myrtle Beach, SC
93%

Charleston, SC
97%

Augusta, GA
40%

Savannah, GA
99%

Jacksonville, FL
99%

The Villages, FL
99%

Orlando, FL
99%